Alphabet’s Google faces a tougher regulatory landscape as U.S.
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration looks poised to
reverse Obama administration policies that often favored the internet
giant in the company’s battles with telecoms and cable heavyweights,
analysts say.
Google had close ties with outgoing Democratic
President Barack Obama’s administration, and its employees donated much
more to defeated Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton than
to the Republican Trump.
In the most concrete sign yet that the
tech policy balance may be tipping in favor of telecom firms ahead of
Trump’s presidency, the U.S. Federal Communications Commission on
Wednesday halted action on contentious regulatory reform measures
opposed by companies such as AT&T and CenturyLink.
In
addition, the commission is now expected to reject FCC Chairman Tom
Wheeler’s high-profile proposal to open up the $20 billion market for
rented pay-TV set-top boxes, according to two people with knowledge of
the matter. That measure would have dealt a big blow to cable companies
and created an opening for firms such as Google and Apple.
Obama
had thrown his support behind the initiative, a move AT&T decried as
an improper intervention on behalf of what it called a “Google
proposal.”
“Google has been much more actively involved in this
than Apple has,” said Jan Dawson, analyst at Jackdaw Research. “I’m not
sure it’s critical to Google’s business at all that it be allowed to
provide these next generation set-top boxes, but there was a business
opportunity there.”
Cable companies have expressed concerns that
rivals like Google or Apple could create devices or apps and insert
their own content or advertising in cable content.
The FCC’s moves
came a day after Republican lawmakers urged Wheeler, a Democrat, to
avoid any contested regulations in the waning days of the Obama
administration, saying new rules would be subject to review by the
incoming Republican-led Congress and Trump’s administration and “could
create confusion if reversed.”
“The question is how far will the
pendulum swing back” in favor of telecom companies, said Hal Singer,
senior fellow at the George Washington Institute of Public Policy. “It
has swung in Google’s direction under the FCC and Chairman Wheeler.”
Among other regulations, Trump’s Nov. 8 election has increased the
chances that Obama’s net neutrality rules, adopted by the FCC in early
2015, could be rolled back, analysts said.
Most Republicans
strongly oppose net neutrality, which requires internet service
providers to treat all data equally and bars them from obstructing or
slowing down consumer access to web content. The rules were a victory
for internet firms like Google and Netflix that have advocated an open
internet.
Jimmy Schaeffler, telecom industry consultant at the Carmel Group,
said that “the bottom line is that things will change and there will be
less optimism among and fewer opportunities” for companies like Google
that do not own the internet networks.
“That’s going to impede their success and those that rely on what they do,” Schaeffler added.
Republicans
in Congress or at a Republican-controlled FCC under a Trump
administration could also pare back new privacy rules adopted in October
that subject internet service providers to stricter rules than those
faced by Google and other websites.
Since Trump’s victory,
Alphabet shares have fallen 2.4 percent, Netflix shares have dropped 5.9
percent and Amazon shares are down 2 percent. AT&T and Verizon
shares have been relatively unchanged, while Comcast shares have soared
7.7 percent.
Google did not respond to requests for comment.
Extensive ties
During
Obama’s presidency, more than 250 people moved between jobs at Google
or related firms and the federal government, national political
campaigns and Congress, according to a report this year by the Campaign
for Accountability watchdog group’s Google Transparency Project.
Eric
Schmidt, Alphabet’s executive chairman, was seen at Clinton’s Election
Night party wearing a staff badge in a widely circulated photo.
In
the stolen and leaked emails of Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta
disclosed by WikiLeaks, an adviser wrote a memo to Clinton in 2014 that
said “working relationships with Google, Facebook, Apple, and other
technology companies were important to us in 2012 and should be even
more important to you in 2016, given their still-ascendant positions in
the culture.”
“We have begun having discreet conversations with
some of these companies to get a sense of their priorities for the
coming cycle,” the adviser wrote.
Telecoms and cable companies
have accused Wheeler of favouring Google at the expense of cable
companies. Responding to the criticism, Wheeler said in May: “I hear
that allegation, and I scratch my head. I don’t get that charge.”
“Certainly
the sort of cozy relationship that Google enjoyed with the Obama
administration is not going to continue with Trump,” Jackdaw Research’s
Dawson added.
Some analysts and former Google lobbyists noted that
the company similarly faced a set of challenging regulatory dynamics
when it opened its Washington office in 2005, with Republicans
controlling the White House and both houses of Congress and the young
tech firm widely perceived to have a liberal bent.
“They have a
tailwind (in the Obama administration), and that does end now,” a former
Google employee at the company’s Washington office said. “But I think
in the long run Google is going to be just fine in Washington. In many
ways, its whole operation was built just for moments like this.”
No comments:
Post a Comment